The rupture of Law and Justice is strengthening hardline parties that oppose Ukraine’s EU membership and may hold the key to Poland’s next government.
Bartosz Brzeziński
In surveys testing a separate Morawiecki list, support for PiS falls to between 16 and 22 percent, Konfederacja takes roughly 13 to 15 percent and Braun’s party about 10 percent. Morawiecki’s Rozwój Plus (Development Plus) project has backing ranging from below the 5 percent parliamentary threshold to around 7.5 percent.
No party with such weak support can govern alone. Bryłka’s conditions for forming a right-wing alliance hinge on Brussels: There must be no more transfer of powers to the EU, no softening on the climate policy that her party has opposed since 2019, and a firm “no” to Ukraine’s membership of the EU.
Even Braun, whom Kaczyński has called too toxic for any coalition, is not beyond the pale for her party. “We maintain good relations,” said Michał Wawer, Konfederacja’s treasurer and a member of the national parliament. “We are ready for cooperation in government in the future, if the majority works out that way.”
Morawiecki’s camp has ruled that out. “Not a chance,” said Paweł Jabłoński, a former deputy foreign minister expelled with Morawiecki. Braun’s party, he added, “is destructive.”
Others in PiS are less categorical. “There is no enemy on the right,” Kaczyński loyalist Jacek Sasin told reporters Friday, floating “some form of non-aggression pact.”
The real enemy, he added, was Tusk’s coalition.
